Saturday, December 23, 2006

Shades of things to come in Iraq

There was never any doubt that George "The Decider" Bush would decide to escalate the war in Iraq with a so-called "surge option". It will not be a temporary surge but a "surge and sustain" operation following the neocon plans of neocon Fred Kagan of the neocon American Enterprise Institute (AEI). Bush will "be forced" to keep these extra troops in Iraq for the next 18 or 24 months. He will try (with great difficulty I predict) to draw down some of these extra troops before the 2008 U.S. elections.

Part of the "surge option" plan is to go after Moqtada al-Sadr Mehdi army. Big mistake!

This will throw southern Iraq into the same turmoil as Baghdad and Anbar province are currently wrapped in. The violence will spread in Iraq. The civil war will become total war with a distinct likelyhood of it becoming a regional war.

U.S. troops will be in greater danger after Sadr's Shiite militia are targeted. Southern Iraq will erupt threatening UK troops and the 800 mile long U.S. land supply line from Kuwait to Baghdad. Just wait and watch as another grand tactic error is made by the incredibly stupid Americans!

Here is a taste of coming flavor attractions. The flavor is cherry red. It taste of blood.



Clashes in southern Iraqi city kill 5
quote:
Reuters 6:42 am EST Sat 23 Dec 2006

Clashes between Iraqi security forces and Shi'ite militiamen loyal to cleric Moqtada al-Sadr have left five people dead and wounded 17 others in the usually calm city of Samawa, police sources said on Saturday.

The sources said that the fighting began on Friday afternoon when Sadr's armed followers protested against the continuous detention of their comrades by the police.

Four of the dead were policemen.

The city is now under full curfew preventing movement of vehicles and pedestrians in an attempt to calm the sudden rise of violence.

Samawa, a small Shi'ite city generally considered to be a world apart from the violence gripping central Iraq, was the first Iraqi province to be officially handed back to Iraqi control from the U.S.-led occupation of the country.

But clashes, resulting from tense political stand-offs between Sadr's movement and the local authorities, have broken out on a number of occasions since the handover.

[Updated at 12:55 pm EST Sat 23 December 2006]:

U.S. plans for manipulating Iraq have failed so far and will continue to fail just as the U.S. effort to pacify Iraq under U.S. military occupation has failed and will continue to fail. Here's more evidence of that:

Shiite cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani won't support coalition
quote:
By QASSIM ABDUL-ZAHRA, Associated Press Writer
11:10 am EST Saturday 23 December 2006

Iraq's most revered Shiite cleric withheld support Saturday for a U.S.-backed plan to build a coalition across sectarian lines, Shiite lawmakers said, jeopardizing hopes that such a show of political unity could help stem the country's deadly violence.

Members of the United Iraqi Alliance, the Shiite coalition that dominates parliament, met with Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani in Najaf after traveling to the holy city over the past few days. Al-Sistani holds no political post and rarely emerges from his home and adjacent office, but he has strong influence over Shiite politics.

Some members of the Shiite alliance have sought a coalition that would include Kurds and Sunnis, and sideline Muqtada al-Sadr, the radical Shiite cleric whose militia is blamed for much of Iraq's sectarian violence. Lawmakers who attended the meeting with al-Sistani said the cleric opposed any move that would divide Shiites.

"There are obstacles in the face of forming this coalition, because al-Sistani does not support it. So we will work to strengthen the (Shiite) alliance," said Hassan al-Sunnaid, of the Dawa Party of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

Ali al-Adib, also a Dawa Party member, said al-Sistani "does not support such blocs because they will break Shiite unity."

An official close to al-Sistani, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the media, said the cleric "will not bless nor support any new bloc or front. He only supports the unity of the Shiites."

Such a development could frustrate U.S.-backed efforts to persuade Iraq's political leaders to set aside sectarian interests and work together for the sake of national unity. Without progress in Iraqi politics, some observers say, the security situation in the country is likely to remain tenuous.

Al-Maliki, the Shiite prime minister, had relied heavily on the support of al-Sadr, whose 30 loyalists in the 275-seat parliament and six ministers in the 38-member Cabinet boycotted politics after al-Maliki met Bush in Jordan recently.

Al-Sadr's walkout revealed the depth of division within the 130-seat Shiite bloc in parliament, where some lawmakers who are viewed as moderate have grown weary of the radical cleric's confrontational tactics. Al-Sistani is also believed to be uncomfortable with the younger al-Sadr, a firebrand whose fighters waged battles against American troops that left parts of Najaf in ruins.

After meeting al-Sistani, the Shiite lawmakers visited al-Sadr. The cleric has agreed to allow his supporters to rejoin the government, officials close to him have said. Their walkout had prevented the government from passing laws, creating a political deadlock alongside a deteriorating security environment.

"Our meeting with Muqtada al-Sadr was successful and fruitful. There were common points of understanding between us, and we assured the unity of the (United Iraqi) Alliance," said Khaled al-Attiya, an independent who is parliament's deputy speaker.

"He will give his final decision to rejoin the government and parliament after Eid al-Adha," al-Attiya said, referring to the Islamic calendar's most important holiday, which Iraq's Shiites will celebrate from Dec. 31 to Jan. 4.

However, the meeting ended with one Dawa party participant saying only that it was "constructive."




No comments: