Showing posts with label Sunnis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sunnis. Show all posts

Saturday, February 10, 2007

Surge this, George!

The surge ain't happening. Americans have not arrived in force although Gen. David Petraeus is now in charge and "the crackdown" is officially underway. Americans will continue to trickle in while the U.S. Congress continues to debate the surge and various non-binding resolutions as prelude to a real fight over continued funding for this failed war which will come later.

When Iraqis do show up for the surge, Iraq gov't soldiers who are mostly Shiites want to surge against Sunni militias but not Shiite militias. That is also Nouri al Maliki's unspoken position as voiced through an Iraqi position paper published yesterday or the day before (see third and final article below).

In sum and in short the surge is off to a sorry and inauspicious start. Also SecDef Robt Gates is already planning for what comes after a(nother) failed U.S. surge offensive (the 4th surge). Gates says this isn't the last straw while Gen. Petraeus says this is Iraq's last hope to avoid total chaos. Gates and Petraeus aren't even on the same page. Perfect example of the fly-by-the-seat-of-their-pants, make-it-up-as-they-go, disarticulated, incoherent, incompetent, doomed-to-fail U.S. strategy.

THREE articles linked below:

Infighting hampering Baghdad crackdown
quote:
Posted on Fri, Feb. 09, 2007

RYAN LENZ
Associated Press

BAGHDAD, Iraq - Iraqi commanders are urging the Americans to go after Sunni targets as the first focus of the military push to secure Baghdad, displaying a sectarian tilt that is delaying full implementation of the plan to drive gunmen from the streets, U.S. officers say.

American officers, interviewed at the sprawling Camp Victory base at the western edge of the capital, also acknowledge they are finding little in their initial searches of Baghdad neighborhoods - suggesting either they received faulty intelligence or that the massive publicity that preceded the operation gave militants time to slip away.

The chief military spokesman, Maj. Gen. William B. Caldwell, said Wednesday that the much-anticipated Baghdad security operation was under way. His remarks came about a month after President Bush announced he was dispatching 21,500 more troops to curb sectarian bloodletting.

Under the plan, Baghdad is to be divided into nine zones, with Iraqi and American soldiers working side-by-side to clear each sector of Shiite militias and Sunni insurgents so that reconstruction programs can begin in safety.

Although Iraqis have seen an increase in the number of checkpoints and other security measures, there is little sign of a "surge" of troops in the streets. U.S. officials insist the public will see a big increase soon.

U.S. officers told The Associated Press that the delays in implementing the plan were in part a result of disagreements between American and Iraqi commanders about what neighborhoods should be cleared first.

During joint planning sessions, the Iraqis have been urging U.S. officials to focus on neighborhoods believed to harbor Sunni insurgents, according to officers familiar with the discussions. They spoke on condition of anonymity because the subject is sensitive.

Several U.S. officers said the Iraqis, especially representatives of the Shiite-run Interior Ministry, played down the threat posed by the biggest Shiite militia, the Mahdi Army. They blamed much of the violence against Sunnis on fringe elements.

That led some U.S. officers to conclude that the Iraqis were afraid that confronting the Mahdi Army, led by anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, would undercut support for the Shiite-led government and trigger even more violence.

~~~snip~~~

Troop 'surge' has yet to materialize in Iraq
quote:
By Louise Roug
Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

7:01 PM PST, February 9, 2007

BAGHDAD, Iraq -- A month after the Bush administration announced a "surge" in troops for Baghdad, Iraqis are still waiting for anything to change.

Fewer than 20 percent of the additional Iraqi and American troops have arrived so far. And the roughly 5,000 troops that have arrived have yet to make a visible influence in this sprawling city of 6 million people, where thousands of gunmen already patrol the streets.

U.S. officials are trying to manage expectations domestically and in Iraq, continually reasserting that troops slowly will take up their positions in the city over the coming months.

But after one of the bloodiest weeks since the U.S.-led invasion of 2003, Iraqis are increasingly impatient. A series of high-profile attacks on civilians and security forces killed more than 1,000 Iraqis and at least 33 U.S. troops in the last eight days.

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates has said he is investigating whether he can speed the pace of the troop buildup. But a senior Pentagon official said this week that it was unlikely that U.S. troops could be sent to Baghdad any faster than planned. The five brigades going to Baghdad are due to arrive one per month, with the final brigade arriving in May.

~~~snip~~~

As I have written before, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki who is a Shiite and owes his ministership to Moqtada al Sadr is all too happy to crack down on Sunni militias but fuggedabout cracking down on Shiite militias in general and Sadr's Mehdi Army in particular. This is yet another reason why Bush's so called surge, another reckless idea touted as well advised and advertized as a "new strategy", is bound to fail exactly like every over tactic that Bush has initiated in the Iraq war. Simply put, the overwhelming majority of Iraqis do not want an American occupation force in their country. Maliki and every other Iraqi conditioned by eons of intrigue easily play Bush and the stupid Americans as the fool they are. Iraqis want to take care of their own affairs and for the meddlesome, arrogant, dominating Americans to go home.

Iraq, U.S. Advised To Avoid Offensive Against Militiamen
quote:
Maliki's Influence Seen in Report

By Joshua Partlow
Washington Post Foreign Service
Friday, February 9, 2007; A14

BAGHDAD, Feb. 8 -- Iraqi and U.S. forces should not launch a military offensive against the militias -- most of them Shiite -- that are a major source of turmoil in Iraq, but should instead rely on nonviolent steps to bring militiamen into the political fold, according to an Iraqi report that draws largely on the views of prominent Shiite politicians.

"In the short-term at least, there can be no military offensive against the militias. Military confrontation, in the current climate, will only strengthen their appeal and swell their ranks," the Baghdad Institute for Public Policy Research concludes.

The institute said the 18-page report, "Dismantling Iraq's Militias," was based on a round-table discussion by six Shiite politicians, two Kurds and a Sunni Arab. Government officials said Thursday it would be considered in setting policy, but some here saw it as reflecting the private thinking of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki as more U.S. troops arrive to try to end the violence.

~~~snip~~~




--------------------
Faire l'amour, pas la guerre
Make love not war

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Has U.S. sided with Shiites?

We heard about "The Salvador Option" shortly before death squads emerged in Iraq. We have heard about the "surge option" which Bush was preordained to choose as the entree for his meal of bloody sacrifice. We heard about the "Darwin option" which would be mean that U.S. forces would stand back and allow Shiites and Sunnis to fight it out - survival of the fitess being the law of George of the Junge. And we heard about the "pick the winning side and back them option".

Inside Iraq, Shiites certainly can dominate the Sunnis, but in the wider Muslim world Sunnis outnumber Shiites by 9 to 1. Saudi Arabia is unlikely to standby while Shiites decimate Sunnis inside Iraq. They are unlikely to intervene directly, but they will arm and finance Sunni militias in any showdown scenario.

My working hypothesis is that Bush and Maliki are playing each other for fools. Bush pretends to "have confidence" that Maliki will crack down on Shiite militias AFTER he cracks down on Sunni militias. Of course Maliki will never get around to the latter. Will Bush let the Shiites (and Iran by proxy) win the battle for Iraq? Not No, but Hell No.

When Maliki refuses to go after Shiites (despite publicized ruses that he is) then Bush will have "no choice" but to engineer the overthrow of Maliki, help put a pro-U.S. "strongman" like Iyad Allawi in power as part of a government of "national salvation", blame Iran for interference in Iraq, and strike Iran.

The first part of that sequence is underway (attacks on Sunni strongholds) and plans are underway for the denouement (strikes on Iran). BTW, there is scant evidence that Iran is suppling advanced weaponry such as tank piercing IEDs to Iraq (see article in yesterday's Los Angeles Times). Bush never lets the evidence get in his way.

Iraqi, US forces battle insurgents in Baghdad Sunni bastion
quote:
AFP 4:40 am EST Wed 24 Jan 2007

A steady barrage of machine-gun fire and mortars was thundering across Baghdad as Iraqi and US forces battled insurgents in one of the capital's Sunni bastions.

Iraqi and US troops with air support from US Apache helicopter gunships fought insurgents in central Baghdad's Haifa Street district in a raging battle that began early in the day.

The US military said Iraqi and US soldiers had launched "Operation Tomahawk Strike 11 on Haifa Street, conducting targeted raids to disrupt illegal militia activity and help restore Iraq security force control in the area".

After a lull that lasted more than an hour, sporadic mortar fire resumed in the area along with occasional automatic weapons fire, as US combat helicopters patrolled overhead.

Iraqi security officials said US aircraft were also reported to have fired on insurgents.

Six "terrorists" and three other suspects were arrested and large caches of weapons seized inside Al-Karkh Middle School, which is located on Haifa Street, a defense ministry source said.

The street lies within two kilometres (just over a mile) of the heavily-fortified Green Zone, the seat of the Iraqi government and US embassy.

A few weeks ago a similar firefight broke out on Haifa Street between Iraqi soldiers and insurgents, and left 50 militants dead. Dozens of insurgents were arrested, including some alleged foreign fighters.

The US choppers also flew over over Al-Fadel, a district on the east side of the Tigris river that is another Sunni stronghold in Baghdad.

On Monday, a Blackwater private security helicopter crashed in Fadel, killing five people, a US defense official said.

US military and private security helicopters circled over the area for several hours as heavy machine-gun fire was heard.

Founded in 1977 by a former US Navy Seal, Blackwater is the most sophisticated private security company operating in Iraq, with its own aircraft and a staff comprised mostly of former American soldiers from elite units.

~~~snip~~~

U.S. warns Iran to back down
quote:
Posted on Tue, Jan. 23, 2007

JIM KRANE
Associated Press

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates - A second U.S. aircraft carrier strike group now steaming toward the Middle East is Washington's way of warning Iran to back down in its attempts to dominate the region, a top U.S. diplomat said here Tuesday.

Nicholas Burns, U.S. undersecretary of state for political affairs, ruled out direct negotiations with Iran and said a rapprochement between Washington and Tehran was "not possible" until Iran halts uranium enrichment.

"The Middle East isn't a region to be dominated by Iran. The Gulf isn't a body of water to be controlled by Iran. That's why we've seen the United States station two carrier battle groups in the region," Burns said in an address to the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center, an influential think-tank.

"Iran is going to have to understand that the United States will protect its interests if Iran seeks to confront us," Burns continued.

~~~snip~~~


Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Generalissimo Genius George

What Wabbits has Generalissimo Genius George got Weft up his sleeve? When The Decider's Surge Option falls flat as it surely will, what then? The Man has pretty much managed to alienate about everyone.

First, there was the deBaathification campaign, and the war on the Sunni insurgency. Since then Genius George has angered the Kurds by an assault on the Iranian consulate on Kurdish territory in Irbil, Iraq where he ordered the arrest of Iranian guests of the Kurdish government.

Now Whim-shot is busy alienating Shiites including not only Iraq Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki who resents Duh-bya's decision to surge more U.S. troops in Baghdad, Bush is busy alienating other Shiite leaders as the article below attests.

Junior has two cards left up his gambler's sleeve IMO. First, Bush can still engineer the downfall and replacement of Iraq Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki. Second, Commander-in-Chief George W. Bush can manufacture a pretext to attack Iran.

There are efforts underway in the U.S. Congress to put conditions or sanctions on Bush's escalation of the war in Iraq and pending legislation that would demand he get Congressional approval before attacking Iran. Now, we have the distinct displease of being witness to Genius George at work as he fiddles with our future and the fundamentals of our democracy.

My question is what will Genius George do if the sovereign and democratically elected government of Iraq demands that all United States forces leave Iraq? What would Generalissimo Genius George decide to do then?

Top Iraqi condemns US over Iran
quote:
Last Updated: Wednesday, 17 January 2007, 13:17 GMT - BBC News

One of Iraq's most powerful Shia politicians has condemned the arrest of Iranians by US forces in Iraq as an attack on the country's sovereignty.

The comments by Abdel Aziz al-Hakim, made in a BBC interview, are seen as the strongest expression yet of Iraq's concern about the US approach to Iran.

They follow two recent US raids in which Iranians were arrested.

The remarks are interesting as Mr Hakim is seen as close to President Bush, says the BBC's Andrew North in Baghdad.

Late last year, US troops descended on Mr Hakim's residential compound in Baghdad and detained two Iranian officials.

They were later released, but last week, five more were detained at the Iranian liaison office in Irbil. They are still being held.

US officials say they are linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard which they allege trains and arms Iraqi insurgents.

Iran, which has demanded their immediate release, says they are diplomats engaged in legitimate work.

"Regardless of the Iranian position we consider these actions as incorrect," Mr Hakim, leader of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, told the BBC.

"They represent a kind of attack on Iraq's sovereignty and we hope such things are not repeated."

On Sunday, Iraq's Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari said that Iraq needed a constructive relationship with Iran.

"We can't change the geographical reality that Iran is our neighbour. This is a delicate balance and we are treading a very thin line."

We fully respect the views, policies and strategy of the United States, which is the strongest ally to Iraq, but the Iraqi government has national interests of its own," Mr Zebari said.




--------------------
Faire l'amour, pas la guerre
Make love not war

Wednesday, January 10, 2007

Developments in Somalia

THREE news stories below. I think the operative words in the first are "Al-Qaida chief in Somalia MAY be dead according to a SOMALI official." This MAY be part of a disinformation campaign. The other two stories are more straight forward. We have to break some eggs (i.e. kill innocent civilians) if we want to make omelets (i.e. kill an Al Qaeda "leader" or two) eh, ? Violence begets violence IMHO. Bush keep it up and we will be in WWIII and calls for withdrawing from Iraq will be moot. Part of Bush's modus operandi? This may backfire as well because 90% of Muslims world wide are Sunnis.

Al-Qaida chief in Somalia may be dead
quote:
By SALAD DUHUL, Associated Press Writer
3:43 pm EST Wed 10 Jan 2007

A senior al-Qaida suspect wanted for bombing American embassies in East Africa was killed in a U.S. airstrike, a Somali official said Wednesday, a report that if confirmed would mean the end of an eight-year hunt for a top target of Washington's war on terrorism.

In Washington, U.S. government officials said they had no reason to believe that the suspect, Fazul Abdullah Mohammed, had been killed. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because of the information's sensitivity.

The report came as U.S forces apparently launched a third day of airstrikes in southern Somalia. At least four separate strikes were reported around Ras Kamboni, on the Somali coast near the Kenyan border. Witnesses said an AC-130 gunship attacked a suspected al-Qaida training camp.

A senior Somali government official also said a small U.S. team has been providing military advice to Ethiopian and government forces on the ground. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the information.

In Washington, a U.S. official said it would be virtually unheard of for the United States to be involved in an operation of this size without "eyes on the ground."

~~~snip~~~

Gunships attack suspected al Qaeda fighters in Somalia
quote:
POSTED: 1902 GMT (0302 HKT), January 9, 2007

STORY HIGHLIGHTS:
• Witnesses say 31 civilians, including two newlyweds, died in the assault
• Pentagon official says one assault was based on intel al Qaeda was in area
• Somalia's president calls U.S. actions against terrorist suspects justified
• U.S. Embassy in Nairobi reissues terror warning

MOGADISHU, Somalia (AP) -- Helicopter gunships attacked suspected al Qaeda fighters in the south Tuesday after U.S. forces staged airstrikes in the first offensive in the African country since 18 American soldiers were killed there in 1993, witnesses said.

Witnesses said 31 civilians, including two newlyweds, died in the assault by two helicopters near Afmadow, a town in an area of forested hills close to the Kenyan border 220 miles southwest of Somalia's capital, Mogadishu. The report could not be independently verified.

A Somali Defense Ministry official described the helicopters as American, but the local witnesses told The Associated Press they could not make out identification markings on the craft. Washington officials had no comment.

On Monday, at least one U.S. AC-130 gunship attacked Islamic extremists in Hayi, 30 miles from Afmadow, and on a remote island 155 miles away believed to be an al Qaeda training camp at the southern tip of Somalia next to Kenya. Somali officials said they had reports of many deaths.

A U.S. intelligence official said the U.S. killed five to 10 individuals in this week's attack in southern Somalia. The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the operation's sensitivity, said a small number of others present, perhaps four or five, at the targeted area were also wounded.

The U.S. was still trying to figure out who they were -- a process that may require a mix of intelligence and getting personnel to the scene.

~~~snip~~~

Recent events fuel Arab ire toward U.S.
quote:
By SALAH NASRAWI, Associated Press Writer
3:14 pm EST Wed 10 Jan 2007

Saddam Hussein's unruly execution, gunbattles in Iraq and U.S. airstrikes on Somalia are increasing hostility toward America in the Arab world and deepening the Shiite-Sunni divide. The conflicts in Iraq and Somalia are not directly connected, but this week's U.S. strikes in the Horn of Africa country are feeding a fear among Sunni Muslim Arabs that a growing campaign is challenging their historic dominance of the Middle East.

In Somalia, the assault is seen as coming from mainly Christian Ethiopia, whose troops swept in to topple the hard-line Islamic Sunni group that had seized control of much of the country. In Iraq, the threat comes from Shiites, brought to power by the U.S. invasion and backed by Iran.

The Ethiopian invasion, "backed completely by the United States and Israel, ... has led to the occupation of a nation that is a member of the Arab League for more than 30 years, yet no one in the Arab world has moved," columnist Fahmi Huweidi wrote Wednesday in the Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat.

"Anything has become permitted as long as the goal is to strike Islamic radicals, even if it leads to the occupation of an Arab nation and the defiling of its political honor, making it a morsel for the Americans, Ethiopians and Israelis," he said.

The editor in chief of the Islamic Banner, an Egyptian goverment religious newspaper, went further, calling President Bush "Dracula .. thirsty for the blood of Arabs and Muslims."

"He invaded Afghanistan ... then he invaded Iraq. Now I wake up to the news of U.S. forces striking Somalia, killing dozens of Muslims," Mohammed al-Zarqani wrote. "Will Somalia become another Iraq or Afghanistan? The Dracula of the modern age is determined that it will."

Reaction from Arab governments was muted over the American strikes in Somalia this week. Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit on Wednesday said "there should be caution in using force against civilians."

Somalia lies on the outer rim of the Arab world, is not connected to the Sunni-Shiite division in the region. But the conflict there adds to the view among some Sunni Arabs that they are under siege — a fear largely fueled by the conflict in Iraq. There has long been a sentiment that the Arab world is flanked by three enemies — Christian Ethiopia from south, Iranian-backed Shiites from the west and Jewish Israel in its midst.

~~~snip~~~



--------------------
Faire l'amour, pas la guerre
Make love not war

Sunday, December 31, 2006

Saddam is now a martyr

The following is the latest entry in a thread I began on the Augusta (Georgia) Chronicle bulletin board titled Hussein executed

December 31, 2006, 11:12 AM EST:

I don't know if it is hundreds or thousands, but flocks of mourners have begun to arrive on scene. No doubt many more will make the trek to visit Saddam's grave in the village of Ouja near Tikrit. Saddam could have been held as a prisoner for life in The Hague. Now he has been made into a martyr and no doubt another rallying cry for Muslims, Arabs, Sunnis, Baathists, and al Qa'ida terrorists.

You're don't a heck of a job, Bushie! No doubt, Bush apologists have a perfect excuse. They can blame the Iraqi government of Nouri al Maliki for this stregetic error. Bush can try to wash his hands of the sordid affair, but all the sands of Arabia cannot wash the blood of revenge from George W. Bush's hands. Sleep well, sweet prince!

Hundreds flock to see Saddam's gravesite
quote:
Dec 31, 10:23 AM EST

By STEVEN R. HURST
Associated Press Writer

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) -- Hundreds of Iraqis flocked to the village where Saddam Hussein was born on Sunday to see the deposed leader buried in a religious compound 24 hours after his execution.

Dozens of relatives and others, some of them crying and moaning, attended the interment shortly before dawn in Ouja. A few knelt before his flag-draped grave. A large framed photograph of Saddam was propped up on a chair nearby.

"I condemn the way he was executed and I consider it a crime," said 45-year-old Salam Hassan al-Nasseri, one of Saddam's clansmen who attended the interment in the village just outside Tikrit, 80 miles north of Baghdad. Some 2,000 Iraqis traveled to the village as well.

Mohammed Natiq, a 24-year-old college student, said "the path of Arab nationalism must inevitably be paved with blood."

"God has decided that Saddam Hussein should have such an end, but his march and the course which he followed will not end," Natiq said.

Police on Saturday blocked the entrances to Tikrit and said nobody was allowed to leave or enter the city for four days. Despite the security precaution, gunmen took to the streets, carrying pictures of Saddam, shooting into the air and calling for vengeance.

~~~snip~~~


--------------------
Faire l'amour, pas la guerre
Make love not war

Saturday, December 23, 2006

We losing Iraqi hearts and minds

The war in Iraq is battle for the hearts and minds of ordinary Iraqis - Shiites and Sunnis. The Kurds aren't really part of the civil war except where they interface with Arabs in disputed territory around Kirkuk and Mosul, and Kurds certainly aren't part of the Iraqi reisitance.

It is hard for the United States to win this battle for the hearts and minds of Sunnis and Shiites when we are seen as the foreign invader and occupier which does not share their religion, language, or customs. It is even more difficult to win those Arab hearts and minds when we are seen as the aggressor and occupier who kills civilians including women and children.

That is a common perception among both Sunnis and now Shiites. Their list of grievances against the American occupiers grows the longer we stay, and anti-American sentiment has become hardened to the point where the majority of Iraqis now support attacks on U.S. and U.K. troops.

Here are TWO of the latest examples:

Iraq town has little faith in U.S. trial of Marines
quote:
By Majid Hameed
Reuters Fri Dec 22, 10:42 AM ET

Iraqis in Haditha, where 24 unarmed civilians were killed last year, said on Friday four U.S. Marines charged with their murder should be executed, a penalty they will not face in the United States.

"They should hand them over to us so that we can kill them. They do not deserve a trial," said one young man who refused to give his name.

Khaled Salman, whose sister Asmaa was among 24 people killed in Haditha, gathered with friends in the early hours of Friday to watch television coverage of the charges being announced.

"Those soldiers killed 24 people. They killed women and children, isn't that enough for them be executed? Just so that the family can have peace," said Salman, 41.

"It's a political trial and it will not bring our rights back," said Salman, visibly angry.


Residents blame U.S. for deadly attack in Baquba
quote:
POSTED: 1924 GMT (0324 HKT), December 23, 2006

STORY HIGHLIGHT:
• No one has claimed responsibility for the Baquba rocket attack, official says
• U.S. makes no comment, investigates incident
• 13 people in captivity after Baghdad kidnapping, Iraqi Red Crescent says

BAQUBA, Iraq (CNN) -- Residents in Baquba blamed U.S. troops for a rocket attack that killed six people and wounded six others, including women and children, a Baquba joint coordination center official said Saturday.

Rockets landed on a residential neighborhood Friday, leveling one of the houses and partially damaging several others.

It was not known who attacked the town 37 miles northeast of Baghdad, and no one has claimed responsibility.

The U.S. military declined to comment Saturday but said it was investigating the incident.